Plowhorses or Deterrents?

Anyone who has used the popular Kasavana/Smith menu engineering model is familiar with the term "Plowhorses". A Plowhorse refers to an entree which is highly popular and has a relatively low contribution. My brother Paul is an Executive Chef at a major resort in California. We love to discuss menu engineering theory and we question the characterization of these under-performers as Plowhorses. Paul prefers to refer to the popular items with low profitability as deterrents.

Dr. Kasavana states: "While plowhorses do not help carry the restaurant's "burden of margin," they surely can be utilized to attract price sensitive buyers. These items present an opportunity to create significant price promotions." Later in the Plowhorse description, he offers a suggestion: "...try to shift demand to other, more profitable items through merchandising programs and menu positioning."



Clearly, the fastest way to higher profits would be to convert sales of these popular under-performers to Stars (highly profitable/high contribution items). Playing around with the unpopular Dogs (unpopular/low contribution) and Puzzles (unpopular/high contribution) won't have the same impact due to the relatively low number of orders sold.

My brother Paul argues these "Plowhorse" menu items deter customers from ordering a more profitable menu item. Often he finds servers promoting these menu choices when asked for help by the guest. He courageously eliminated the most popular menu item at the resort. Whether you call it a Plowhorse or a Deterrent, check averages and gross margins are way up.

We find lots of "price sensitive buyers" in the current environment. If you can't bring yourself to completely eliminate these deterrents, consider one other suggestion from the book: "Relocate plowhorse items to a lower menu profile position. Hiding these items may lead to the sale of higher contribution menu item selections." If I am interpreting this suggestion accurately, our aim is to demote these Plowhorses to Dog status.

Treatment of Dogs is straight forward in the book: "TAKE DOG ITEMS OFF THE MENU!"

If you are struggling with one or more highly popular menu items which simply do not carry their fair share of contribution, you need to take action now. You may feel the need to try to hide these items or combine them with more profitable options. Do you have the confidence to eliminate these items now? You may find more money in your bank account.

Managing Sunday Brunch

The number one decision in managing your Sunday Brunch operation is the size of the staff for a given forecast. The staffing should include one or more people at the host stand. If your patrons know each other, you should consider seating people close to one another by opening zones in your dining room. Dining patrons will tend to spend more time in conversations thereby giving their digestive system ample time to send the "I'm full!" signal.

Generally, people will behave differently around their friends and neighbors vs. a crowd of strangers. There are no statistics to back me up but I think they will eat somewhat less if they are surrounded by people they know.

You will also staff the food stations and the dining room. In the dining room, the number of servers will be significantly lower than a typical dinner shift. Most of the service will involve drinks and condiments. One area you should adequately staff are the stations with meat and seafood selections. If you are comfortable letting patrons empty your pans of bacon and sausage, you should at least consider someone who can portion roasts and grilled items.

Some restaurants have a featured item which requires a ticket. Generally, the serving size for this one-time item is generous. The theory is twofold. First, the patron is limited to one generous portion. They will tend to build their experience around this menu item. Second, the portion is generous and will help limit consumption of other menu items.

When we were traveling with my first employer after college, our group always hit a great brunch in a hotel on Sundays. We were allowed to stay on the road vs. flying back home on the weekend. We were loyal to a hotel brunch with three drawing cards: fresh baked rolls, a great salad bar and prime rib (one serving per patron). None of us ever had any room for bacon and sausage. We paid at least 25% more than the local competition charged for the fresh baked goods and the large portion of perfectly cooked prime rib.

I'd recommend a baker in the kitchen if the volume justifies the expense. These pros can put people in your seats. Since many bakers work at night proofing the dough, you could finish the bread and rolls during the shift.

Clearing plates from the table seems to be art form many brunch operators have mastered. If someone is around to offer coffee and suggest a fresh pastry, you could save the expense of seconds at the meat and seafood stations. Placing pastries in conspicuous niches helps to get guests discussing dessert before they even begin their meals. The cost of a coffee and a slice of cake is lower than seconds on shellfish and steak.

Finally, I recommend costing each pan or plate sent from the kitchen. You need to know the cost per serving ahead of time in order to properly orchestrate the brunch in the dining room. If you have a main draw with terrific fresh baked goods, you can still charge a premium and save on mass consumption of ancillary items.

Menu Planning and Strategy

Our industry is experiencing a shift in the demand curve. Restaurant goers are downsizing from upscale to casual, casual to fast casual and fast casual to QSR and take-out. The regular patrons at many family owned restaurants are watching their checks and eliminating an appetizer or dessert course. If you have a lower priced entree on your menu, you may find the popularity on the increase.

Most of the menu analysis and menu engineering models were built during a time of solid annual growth for our industry. These models focus on high gross margin entrees loved by patrons. Blindly using these models to adjust menu prices may hurt your bottom line. These models are designed to eliminate low gross margin menu items if the popularity is low.



Rather than completely eliminating these dogs, you may want to repackage these items. Take them off your printed menu and try them as budget specials. You may find a winner or two.

The stars need to get your full attention. Are your guests still selecting the reliable cash cows? You may see the high gross margin items slipping in popularity. Chef Mario Batali (one of my favorite chefs) was quoted in a USA Today article: "There's less caviar, foie gras and truffles, but they're still there. They're just not on nine courses. They're on one course." This same article highlights other chefs who have decided to offer more price points for their patrons.

Expense accounts are being scrutinized at every major S&P 500 company. The current earnings season on Wall Street shows companies are slashing costs.

The wine lists are offering guests fewer trophy bottles as demand for the $200 plus bottle of wine has collapsed. Many restaurants religiously ordered their annual commitment from the same boutique vineyards without regard to consumption. Now, these wine cellars are loaded with these high cost bottles. Many have decided to end this practice and they are moving these bottles by the glass.

Are there ways to produce the same gross margins in this new era? Yes. You need more turns on busy nights. Offer early bird specials, table d'hote options, and popular add-ons for your popular menu items. Promote seasonal ingredients which typically offer lower cost of sales.

Customer knowledge (including dining out budgets) leads to effective menu planning efforts. Rather than completely revamping your current menu, you may find a few strategic revisions will help you meet your targets.

Beverage Included Buffets

The lowest priced lunch buffet we visited on our tour was $6.95. This operator serves both BBQ pork (whole hog) and fried chicken with lots of sides and desserts. Drinks are not included and sweet tea is sold for $1.19 (unlimited). A quick look around the dining room showed about 75% of patrons enjoying a tea and the others ordering tap water (free).

There were a few competitors offering similar food choices for $7.45 with beverage included with the meal. On average, the $6.95 buffet plus beverage accounts for $7.85 in revenue and an extra $0.40 in gross margin.

For out-of-town guests, the big $6.95 sign beckons. By the time they see the buffet layout and are warmly greeted by the hostess, they will probably never ask about the extra charge for the tea.

I spoke with one of the general managers at the all-inclusive buffet. He told me most of his business is local and everyone wants the tea. They have offered the buffet with tea for decades. He believes the locals are aware of the real price for the buffet with tea at the $6.95 location. I'm sure he is correct.

Both restaurants were very busy in the middle of the week.

All You Can Eat Buffets

We have all tried an all you can eat buffet. Whether you are in Las Vegas, a local hotel for Sunday Brunch, a Chinese restaurant or a buffet specialist, the format is the same. You are seated and asked for your drink order. Once the order is taken, you are invited to go ahead to the buffet.

Most buffets are setup in stations. Typically, there is one or more ethnic food stations (Italian, Mexican and Chinese are common), a roast meat station, seafood station, BBQ station, a large salad bar and a dessert station. Breakfast and brunch buffets will include an omelet station (with lots of toppings), breakfast meats, pancakes, waffles, bagels, toast, muffins, fresh fruit, smoked salmon, and cereals.

Operators who pay attention to baked goods have an edge since these items have a relatively low food cost. It is advisable to have a server help guests with the roast meats. Most buffet houses continually pick up plates when the guests leave the table for seconds.

Buffet operations require high fixed costs. Much of the food and production staffing is decided before the meal period. Operators need accurate forecasts to prevent costly over production.

There are two schools on how to close down a buffet. Some professionals believe the buffet should look fully stocked right up until the final guest is served. Other operators prefer to offer fewer pans as the clock nears closing time. You need to have a strategy for either philosophy. The worst buffet presentations are those where you see many pans with very little food and drying sauces and gravies.

At the very least, these pans should be removed or replenished (depending on the policy). I have requested a tour of the buffet before deciding to dine on occasion. About 1/3 of the time, I decide to leave due to the appearance of the food.